Tag Archives: system status management

BCS Releases MARVLIS Version 4.5

Dale Loberger                                                FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: 9/13/22

BCS, Inc.

(803) 641-0960

dloberger@bcs-gis.com

BCS Releases MARVLIS Version 4.5

MARVLIS 4.5 Available Featuring Significant New Features and Updates

Aiken, SC: BCS today announced the release of MARVLIS version 4.5. This major release provides new and updated features focused on our rapidly changing world. Incident recommendation has been expanded in scope and complexity, adding tiered recommendations to get the right resources to the right place even when resource counts are running low. Incident recommendation now also supports response packages for those incidents where a single resource is insufficient. This release also contains tools to simplify MARVLIS database deployment and adds support for multiple MARVLIS systems running on a single database instance. Finally, this release contains improvements in the Dashboard report and help system, NETCall functionality, and the MARVLIS technology stack.

“The evolution of MARVLIS to version 4.5 is yet another example of our dedication to innovation in the Public Safety sector. This new release expands on MARVLIS’s position as the complete solution to control, route, and manage resources across the entire agency. Communication centers will save time and reduce manual steps with new features like tiered responses and response packages”, says Tony Bradshaw, President at BCS. “The latest version of MARVLIS NETCall is a game changer for the efficient management of non-emergency resources and provides technology to optimize trip assignments to maximize profitability.”

Features and benefits of MARVLIS 4.5 include:

  • Added Incident Recommendation module support for tiered recommendations and response packages
  • New Query Sets to create vehicle and incident queries for incident recommendations
  • Dashboard pages now include context-specific help links
  • MARVLIS Database now supports multiple MARVLIS systems running on a single database instance
  • Updates to Playback, Post Coverage, and Incident Recommendation Reviewer Dashboard Reports
  • Added support for password complexity 
  • Updated technology stack includes:
    • MARVLIS Client updated to support ArcGIS® Runtime 100.13
    • MARVLIS Dashboard updated to support jQuery® 3.6.0 from 3.3.1
    • MARVLIS Dashboard updated to support the ArcGIS® API for JavaScriptTM 4.23
  • Added support for routing with live traffic in Canada using the TomTom® Real Traffic Feed
  • NETCall updates to support revenue information in processing and numerous user interface enhancements

MARVLIS 4.5 is now available and is included as part of annual maintenance for existing MARVLIS customers. If you’d like more information or think that MARVLIS might be the right solution for your organization, please email sales@bcs-gis.com or visit https://www.bcs-gis.com/marvlis.html.

About BCS, Inc.: Founded in 1998 in Aiken, SC, BCS develops solutions to help organizations leverage technology and strategies to improve operational performance and delivery of time-critical resources, services, and management of non-emergency transportation. Visit us at bcs-gis.com

About Esri: Esri, the global market leader in geographic information system (GIS) software, location intelligence, and mapping, helps customers unlock the full potential of data to improve operational and business results. Founded in 1969 in Redlands, California, USA, Esri software is deployed in more than 350,000 organizations globally and in over 200,000 institutions in the Americas, Asia and the Pacific, Europe, Africa, and the Middle East, including Fortune 500 companies, government agencies, nonprofits, and universities. Esri has regional offices, international distributors, and partners providing local support in over 100 countries on six continents. With its pioneering commitment to geospatial information technology, Esri engineers the most innovative solutions for digital transformation, the Internet of Things (IoT), and advanced analytics. Visit us at esri.com.

About TomTom: At TomTom we’re mapmakers, providing geolocation technology for drivers, carmakers, enterprises and developers.

Our highly accurate maps, navigation software, real-time traffic information and APIs enable smart mobility on a global scale, making the roads safer, the drive easier and the air cleaner.

Headquartered in Amsterdam with offices worldwide, TomTom’s technologies are trusted by hundreds of millions of drivers, businesses and governments every day. Visit us at tomtom.com

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Minority Report or Moneyball

I have often heard comparisons on the automation of System Status Management to the 2002 Spielberg movie starring Tom Cruise called “Minority Report” loosely based on the 1956 short story by Philip K. Dick. This science fiction action thriller is set in the year 2054 when police utilize a psychic technology to arrest and convict murderers before they commit their crime. The obvious comparison there is to the forecast of future call demand and the eerie accuracy of the reports that allow the right resources to get there in time to make a difference in the outcome. Sometimes in the movie, as in real life, there is a considerable cost to achieve that goal as well. It is easy to get wrapped up in the technology, particularly the virtual reality user interface that Detective Anderton (Cruise) uses to make sense of the premonitions and quickly locate the scene. I like to end the analogy there before we learn the darker side of the way the technology works and can even be manipulated to put a stop to the whole project. Perhaps some EMS providers think they see a similar inherent darkness and hope for an eventual collapse of the whole dynamic deployment paradigm as well. This may be where the art of a story and our reality diverge, especially considering the current economic dynamics even given the admittedly sporadic successes. This may also be why we need a different analogy.

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Improving EMS Deployment Performance

I work regularly with agencies that are looking to improve aspects of their operations. Some casual readers may be surprised to know that the focus of those discussions is not always about cutting response times. While response is a simple and common measure, it clearly does not evaluate EMS well and certainly fails to encapsulate many of its complex needs and values. Still, I feel the necessity to address the time objective briefly before going on to other important aspects.  

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More Reasons to Support Dynamic Deployment

The “Leverage Real-Time Data for Improved Ambulance Response Times” article that Zoll posted on their blog site did a good job of explaining response times and even the benefits of System Status Management (SSM) planning to the patient. But there is still more to the story that we have learned over the years since Jack Stout first introduced it.

Of course, it is best for the patient (and the service) when an ambulance arrives to the scene in a short time. The media often picks up on poor response times with stories likethe GSW patient dying in Clevelandsurrounded only by police and fire personnel. Even the doctors at JAMA can’t resist publishing an article showing response times as an inherent failure of EMS in certain cases. Unfortunately, many will read the solution as medics “speeding” to the scene, yet we have learned that lights and sirens have little impact on times and may even prevent some patients from calling for an ambulance in the first place. However, when the deployment of ambulances is responsive to the dynamic demand patterns throughout the day, ambulances can literally be moved closer to the scene even before they are dispatched. Literally hundreds of High Performance EMS agencies across the US have significantly reduced their 90th percentile response rates through technology. Forecasting the future does not involve magic, at least not for predictable phenomenon like emergency calls for service. Not only can we forecast the quantity and types of calls we will receive (necessary for adequate staffing), we can determine where they are likely to originate from with significant accuracy as well. Shortening the distance that an ambulance must travel is a safer alternative than asking a crew to speed in order to achieve the same result.

Another positive impact of shorter response times is patient satisfaction. There are many reasons that healthcare providers should beusing patient satisfaction surveys, both for the benefit of the patient as well as simplifying the accreditation process for your service.Beyond safety, satisfaction and simplification; proper SSM can improve finances. Some services have recognized marked reductions in the number of post moves for crews and ultimately reduce the total number of unloaded (read unreimbursed) miles driven which saves on vehicle wear and tear in addition to fuel costs. Other agencies, particularly those who contract their services, can reduce financial penalties for “exceptions,” or late calls beyond the target response time.

Frankly, the public often expects performance measured in minutes. Whether we approve of the measure or not, we are often graded and compared based on response times. Whether the penalties for missing targets are financial, patient satisfaction, or driven by bad press reports, being late simply hurts. Until EMS is designated and funded as a critical service for government, it will be dependent on political funding allocations and insurance reimbursements. As long as performance is measured by how long it takes to be on scene, response times will be critical to the financial well-being of services. The least we can do is perform to the highest safe standards possible.

 

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Toward a Better Understanding of Dynamic Deployment

I recently had two articles published by EMS1 as a couple of “mythbusting primers” on the topic of dynamic deployment. The articles were Dynamic deployment: 5 persistent myths busted and Dynamic deployment: 5 more persistent myths busted. My intention was not to convince anyone of a position that opposes their current EMS world view pertaining to deployment models, but I had hoped to extend the work Dave Konig began in The EMS Leader defining the terms of EMS resource deployment in 2013 and to have an open discussion about it. My hopes of engaging in dialog fell somewhat short of my expectations. But after watching the presidential debate last night, I understand that the idea of a robust “give and take” may be more difficult to achieve in public interaction than simply setting a stage with opposing actors.

One comment I received the first week after publication of my articles was a posting that basically just left a link for an article by Dr Bryan Bledsoe from 2003 entitled “EMS Myth #7: System Status Management Lowers Response Times and Enhances Patient Care.” The assumption being that the topic was settled long ago. While I have great respect for the man who calls himself “The EMS Contrarian” and his robust body of writings (including by first EMS textbook), I respectfully disagree with the finality of some of his assertions. A great deal has changed in the past 13 years. Some readers may actually recall that MySpace debuted the same year that his opinion was written. For those who do not recall that social media phenomenon, MySpace was a precursor to Facebook that was once the largest social networking site in the world – even surpassing Google as the most visited website in the US. This was also a time when almost every patient was administered high-flow O2 because it was considered safe, even if not always effective. Fortunately, the evidence-based movement in EMS has caused many practices to be re-evaluated both for inclusion as well as exclusion. And computer technology has also made great developmental strides from the 2003 introduction of the first wristwatch cellphone named the Wristomo. At that time, engineers were still thinking of wearable technology as a cross between the 2-way wrist radio device that became iconic for Dick Tracy in the 1940’s comic strip and the modern flip phone of the day. Naturally, the device was designed to be easily unclipped in order to hold it to the ear like a traditional cell phone. It even offered an optional cable allowing it to exchange data with a computer. The development of Bluetooth freed designers to reconsider how a smartwatch could interact in an entirely different way with a user’s smartphone. The evolution of dynamic deployment has followed a similar trajectory.

Gartner_Hype_Cycle.svgThe Gartner Hype Cycle is a graphical and conceptual presentation that describes the maturity of emerging technologies through five common phases. Each year, the organization follows several technologies through this consistent cyclical journey. While EMS deployment was not one of these tracked technologies, I would submit that the initial technology trigger in the case of dynamic deployment would have certainly been the work of Jack Stout on System Status Management in the 1980s. His publications in the Journal of Emergency Medical Services (JEMS) throughout the decade inflated the expectations for performance returns. Implementation issues however, contributed to it sliding down into the trough where many disillusioned system providers left it for dead around Y2K. But the story doesn’t end there. The combination of his economic theory with Geographic Information Systems (GIS) provided a new operational view of both demand as well as current positions of available vehicles reported in near real-time with growing bandwidth. The advancement of computer processing has allowed some of these same Stoutian concepts to now be performed in real-time. With practice in modifying the parameters, the concept of Dynamic Deployment has become, as one comment to the article stated, effectively SSM 2.0. The benefits are no longer theoretical or even limited to Public Utility Model services, but are being realized by both public and private EMS providers climbing the slope of enlightenment or who are content with the productivity gains they have already reached.

JCMCresponsetimevROSCOne of Stout’s assumptions that has changed since the Bledsoe article is the “20 week” rolling window for analysis. This is too broad of a query that effectively combines different seasonal impacts throwing off focused projections not improving them. Experience shows that just a few weeks backward or forward from the current date for only a few previous years gives the best demand  forecast. Tests conducted at BCS show that MARVLIS correctly forecasts 80-85% of calls in the next hour by identifying hotspots that are limited to approximately 10% of the overall geography. Going back too many years, as Bledsoe was led by a consulting statistician, can actually unfairly weight more established neighborhoods while undervaluing newer communities. The clinical significance of shorter response times is not always in the “37 seconds” that are saved or even in meeting an arbitrary response goal, but in reducing response to a meaningful 4-minute mark. Achieving this milestone has had a proven impact on ROSC in New Jersey for instance. And beyond clinical significance is contractual obligation. Like it or not, EMS is often judged (and even purchased) similar to fire protection – by compliance to a time standard. Software makes a difference in meeting those goals. Running a system so that it performs well in most cases means it is more likely to perform well in the cases where it really does matter to the long term health of the patient.sedgwick_compliance

The increase in maintenance costs of 46% as claimed by Bledsoe has also been disproven with services showing a reduction in the number of unloaded (non-reimbursed) miles driven and even a reduction in the number of post-to-post moves in favor of post-to-call dispatches. By reducing fines for late calls, some services have found significant cost savings compared to previous operations.

In trading station lounges for the cramped cab of an ambulance, there has been a genuine cost to the paramedics and EMTs. However, the argument they make is not about fixing the plan, but rather it becomes an attempt discredit the foundation of that plan completely. Consider the fact that most field providers in a closest vehicle dispatch operation describe a “vortex” that traps them in an endless cycle of calls if they do not escape it in time. They find ways to try to beat the system rather than suggest that recommendations account for the unit hour utilization by vehicle and allow busier units to leave the high call volume area and move to less call prone posts to complete paperwork and recuperate. It is not that the strategy is inherently evil or wrong, but is designed to support a business philosophy that is not properly balanced, so the outcome becomes skewed. It is time to stop challenging the core notion and focus on specific concerns of the implementation that will make the system work better for all participants. As long as we demonize the idea, we will not be able to impact how it works.

Much like the polarization of the presidential debates, I have learned from experience that when we perceive only bits and pieces of the world around us, our minds fill in the blanks to create the illusion of a complete, seamless experience, or knowledge of a system in this case. Sometimes that interpolated information is no longer correct and it can keep us from participating in the crafting of a solution that truly works for everyone.

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We Need Some New Stories

We always hear that EMS is still a relatively new discipline. And in the scheme of medicine, or even public safety, that is certainly true. But we shouldn’t let the fact of its youth keep us from acknowledging that it has already been around long enough to accumulate some of its very own antiquated dogma. If you have any doubt, consider the reaction to changes in protocol – even those with good evidence to support some new practice. Working cardiac arrests on scene, for instance, was not met, at least in my experience, with enthusiasm at the prospect of improving patient outcomes. What I heard were excuses for why something different wouldn’t work. I thought about that exchange this week as I was listening to a recent Medicast podcast on an entirely different topic. Near the end of that recording, Rob Lawrence remarked that we really need to do away with the old stories that start out with “back in my day…”

The stories of some grizzled professionals include not just memories of MAST pants or nitrous oxide, but the idea that tourniquets take limbs, not save lives. More recently stories have been spun about the movement away from the long-held reliance on the long spine board as an immobilization splint during transport or even the value of therapeutic hypothermia for cardiac arrests.

While there is no denying, or even stopping, a rapid state of change in EMS, we must be sure that it is not just change simply for the sake of change or even resistance for the same reason. Change must be meaningful change that is guided by reasoned thought and scientific evidence, not personal anecdote. And new practices should be carefully modified to address current issues or new understandings of the problem.

Another sacred, yet unjustified, belief among too many providers is that the dynamic deployment of resources (commonly referred to as “SSM”, or System Status Management) is an unmitigated failure of cost-consciousness that actually leads to increased expenses and provider dissatisfaction. The evidence, however, from many of the services who now employ some facet of dynamic deployment has proven that while it can be tricky to implement well; the savings in time, money, and lives are definitely real. And those savings need not come at the cost of provider safety or comfort either. Whether you have had bad experiences in the past, or just heard about it from others, it is time to set aside the old stories and take a new look at the current technology and practice in every aspect of EMS that leads to improved performance.

To advance our profession, we must completely ban the expression,  “but that’s how we’ve always done it” and look toward “how we can do it now!”

 

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Static v. Dynamic: A Continuum of Cost

In our recently published book, “Dynamic Deployment: A Primer for EMS“, John Brophy and I established a dichotomy between the standards of static deployment and dynamic deployment in the very first chapter.  Fortunately, that strong polar perspective has spurred some interesting discussions for me. While the check-out lane analogy was effective in distinguishing some of the differences of static and dynamic deployments, its simplicity only recognized the extreme ends of the spectrum and failed to acknowledge what I would describe as a “Continuum of Cost” between them.

Few systems (at least those with more than just a few ambulances) probably function exclusively at either extreme. The static model will necessitate some flexibility to provide “move-ups” to fill holes, just as dynamic systems will have reasons to keep specific posts filled as long as enough ambulances are available in the system. The reasons for moving, or even fixing locations, may have something to do with demand necessity or even the political expedience of meeting community perceptions.

While there are many differences between static and dynamic deployments that we could discuss, there are also some elementary misconceptions. For instance, dynamic deployment does not mean vehicles are constantly in motion. The term dynamic refers to the nature of their post assignments which can vary between, and even within, shifts. As alluded to in the book, proper post assignments also reduce, not increase, operational expenses. In at least one example we stated, the dynamic deployment strategy was shown to significantly reduce the number of unloaded miles actually driven, which in turn increases the percentage of overall miles that can be billed. This situation not only increases revenue while simultaneously reducing expenses, it also reduces fuel costs and wear on the vehicles (and crews) too which potentially extends their useful life. All this is still in addition to reducing response time and improving crew safety by positioning ambulances closer to their next call so that fewer miles need to be driven under lights and sirens.  The inherent efficiency of this management strategy allows a system to achieve response compliance at the 90th percentile with the smallest possible fleet.  To achieve the same compliance level with a static deployment of crews and posts, the fleet must grow significantly larger. Another recent sample calculation showed that both staff and fleet size would need to grow by well over double in order to reach the same goal. The resulting cost continuum, therefore, clearly shows that a static fleet has operational and capital expenses multiple times the costs of the dynamic deployment model without burning crews out with excessive and unhealthy UHU figures.

For the sake of validating my argument, it is unfortunate that these examples are from private ambulances companies who do not wish to openly share details of their calculations at this time for competitive reasons. It would be safe, however, to assume from these competitive reservations that these results are not automatic, but dependent on proper management and the use of good tools. There are certainly numerous examples of poorly managed systems or ineffective operational tools. To achieve similar positive results in your own system requires certain knowledge, an underlying reason for having written the book in the first place, and an assurance that the deployment tools are proven to be effective.  Just as managers should have references checked during the hiring process, vendors of operational deployment tools should be able to provide ample references for successful implementations of their technology in comparable systems to your own. It is also important that any solution be able to address a continuum that includes your specific objectives to find a balance between geographic coverage with anticipated demand coverage at an acceptable workload and schedule for your staff.

There is no “magic bullet” to achieving operational nirvana, but the combination of effective management with operationally proven tools has shown that cutting costs while improving performance is an achievable goal in most any size system. It is also fair to say that performance can be enhanced with less skill through the application of significant sums of money; but honestly, who can afford that sort of strategy in the competitive arena of modern mobile integrated healthcare.

It is our desire to produce yet another, even more extensive, volume on the topic of dynamic deployment to make the achievement of efficient and effective high performance EMS a reality for more systems. Stay tuned for future details!

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Could Busier be Better?

There is plenty of talk about “evidence-based procedures” in EMS lately. Well, today I read an interesting article that shows a link between being busier and better patient outcomes.

Okay…, now after reading that statement, what just happened to your heart rate? Was your automatic response to click the link in order find fault so you can dismiss the finding, or did it pique a genuine interest to read the article and find what might be of value to you personally in hopes of possibly achieving a better understanding of even one aspect in a very complex patient/care giver dynamic? It is interesting to see how we respond to “evidence” we don’t necessarily like, or evidence that contradicts with our own longstanding personal stereotypes.  I know that whenever I talk about Dynamic Deployment, or System Status Management, I immediately hear complaints from those who work in the field that it is all about the numbers and is often driven by greedy consultants forcing “snake oil” math on all too willing administrators who have forgotten their “street experience.” I usually try to combat the stereotype perception with facts about more progressive experiences with creating high performance systems, but I will admit right here that everyone is at least partially right – it really is about the numbers. However, it may not just be the same numbers you are thinking (but I will stick to my assertion that the logic is probably much less nefarious than suspected.)

Time is an easy thing to measure, but in itself, it is seldom very important. In fact, it can be much like a single vital statistic from a patient taken out of context. Still, time is a pretty fair proxy measure of performance on the aggregate.  And, like good base line vitals, it becomes especially useful when combined with other numbers.  Now, before writing your comment, please note that I never said anything about a 7:59 response standard, I was only talking about measuring time in the abstract.  I believe the argument over response time standards is very similar to arguing that everyone should have a BP of 120/80. Sometimes it is the right goal, but for others, or depending on the situation, the target may be higher or lower.

Each of us measures our work shift in terms of hours.  System Status Management extends that basic idea by measuring everyone’s time in a shift along with the work they accomplish and balance it against the public’s perception, reasonable risk, and the actual needs of individual patients and their providers.  There are plenty of bad examples out there and I refuse to justify them, but at the same time there are good examples of systems that are improving and taking the right measures into account.

The key is not UHU, TOT, response times, compliance, ROSC, patient outcomes, employee satisfaction or budgets – it is all of those things and much more. Those numbers are no more definitive in themselves than BP, pulse, O2 sats, capnography, skin condition, ECG, GCS or anything else we measure is a truly accurate indication of a person’s overall health. Similarly, it is no less fair to view SSM as a static group of measures than to believe the components of our patient assessment are unchanging. If some medic had overly emphasized, or even ignored, some measures in an assessment, that specific experience should not condemn a process that has been proven valuable in many other cases.

It may seem that I have ventured pretty far from the question with which I started this post about how busy we should be in order to be most effective. You may have even thought I was promoting an idea to maximize every minute.  As for the clinical interpretation of the answer, I will leave that to the authors of the particular study I referenced.  Instead, I will suggest that we all must be a little busier in understanding how our collective time and actions impact the performance of the systems in which we work. It doesn’t matter if your service is private, non-profit, fire-based or whatever; money and resources are always finite while demand and expectations are often increasing.  I would ask that you don’t simply rely on the assessment from “vitals? of SSM taken years ago, but reassess with an open mind and set aside the prejudices of previous assessments. After all, very little in our business is truly static. Like a “routine? interfacility transport, we can assume nothing has changed regarding the patient’s condition, or we can get busy and engage in our profession looking to have a positive impact on potential outcomes. Don’t leave leadership to the administrators, but take initiative to at least understand, if not improve, your corporate mission. You may be caring for patients, but the care of your career is part of your job too. Get even busier and improve that outcome for yourself.

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Is 'SSM' Still a 'Bad Idea'?

Ideas often take time to saturate a market. Even if the idea is generally recognized as a good one, complete with compelling evidence, change can still take time.  As a current example, how many agencies still have a protocol for complete spinal immobilization on a long spine board for “any fall” or “significant impact”?  On that very point, Dr. Ryan Jacobsen puts forth a lengthy argument in this recording of a  presentation at a NAEMSP conference.  The process of acceptance can be even worse yet if the idea has been controversial – as in the case of “System Status Management” introduced by Jack Stout in 1983. This distinction means it takes longer still in order for it to receive a “fair hearing” even if the evidence now shows a positive impact. In an ideal world, the best ideas would always be automatically and universally adopted, but that simply isn’t how the world works.  And for any professional industry it is a good thing that ideas are properly “vetted”over time to determine what is truly “best” before wholesale adoption or, in the case of “bad ideas”, that they are discarded only when a fair reading of the evidence discredits them.

CycleDynamicsGartner, Inc. of Stamford, Connecticut, has built both a reputation as an information technology research and advisory firm and a booming business of annually publishing their signature “hype cycle? graphs by industry segment.  For those unfamiliar with these charts, the basic structure starts with a technology trigger near the origin of time and is visibility followed by a quick rise to the “peak of inflated expectations” that is often driven by a combination of unrealistic claims by proponents and the hopes of users desperate to believe those claims.  The exaggerated peak of hype is inevitably followed by a crash of popularity into the so-called “trough of disillusionment.”  Many ideas just die here and drop off the curve, but for others, a more realistic set of expectations develop as ‘believers’ (the “early adopters” according to Everett Rogers’ “Diffusion of innovations”) begin to experience measurable benefits and serves to push the idea (sometimes with changes) up the “slope of enlightenment.” This gradual advance passes an important point of inflection on the performance “S” curve known as the “attitude confirmation” identified by Joon Shin.  The next landmark is crossing a social “chasm” identified by Geoffrey Moore at another critical inflection point called the “attitude plateau.”  Once an idea successfully crosses the chasm, it plateaus as a generally recognized productivity concept for that industry. Some ideas fly quickly along these curves passing other older ideas that seem to just plod along at a much slower pace.

So, is “SSM” still on the curve? And if so, where is it?  We must first realize that ideas evolve and sometimes morph into other names (just as “Emergency Medical Services” is known by some as “Mobile Integrated Healthcare” now.)  One apparent synonym for “SSM” is a broader idea of “dynamic deployment.”  If we look at the literature and practices of emergency ambulatory services, we find that the underlying concept is still quite popular despite attempts of detractors to further discredit or simply ignore it.  One such potentially damning article was written by Bryan Bledsoe back in 2003 after a crash of industry expectations for the idea.  This could easily be explained as the time that SSM passed its own pivot point where its value was questioned in the trough of disillusionment. (Some may also claim that hypothermia treatments for cardiac patients was also recently in this trough.)

Computing performance has increased dramatically since the 1980’s (or even the early 2000’s) and algorithms are discovering patterns in many human activities.  Demographic data show socioeconomic clustering that leads to similar health issues and traffic patterns with road designs that see more accidents than they should. These patterns are proving to be key in forecasting demand for EMS services. Automated Vehicle Location systems allow far better tracking than ever before and traffic patterns are being used to calculate more realistic routes. These are some of the advances that help explain the numerous agencies that are significantly improving response performance and making use of resources. Where field providers take an active part is developing strategies, there are also reductions in post moves, unloaded miles driven, and better disbursement of work loads.  The efficiency gained by its use in mainstream agencies beyond the initial public utility model organizations seem to vindicate Stout’s early vision and research as the concept moves up the slope of enlightenment toward the plateau of general acceptance.

Ideas are not static entities, so our understanding must continue to evolve and incorporate new thoughts.  As the iconic American social commentator, Will Rogers once said, “even if you’re on the right track, you’ll get run over if you just sit there.”  So, to honestly argue an idea, proponents of either side must continue to evolve their understanding and witness the current thought and evidence of an idea.  There is little point in continuing to attack past grievances which have been addressed while ignoring the mounting evidence out of sheer disbelief.  If “SSM” is not a “good idea’ yet, it is certainly moving in that direction all the while being shaped by those who are concerned over the future of EMS (or MIH.)

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The Role of Response Time in EMS Performance

Several months ago, Rob Lawrence of the Richmond Ambulance Authority started a thread on the High Performance EMS Group of LinkedIn by asking “So what does the phrase ‘High Performance EMS’ mean to you?? This innocent sounding question sparked immediate debate even within the small group at that time. Benjamin Podsiadlo of AMR quickly tied the quality of EMS performance to “experience? and “outcomes? stating further that “response time is not an evidence based factor in ALS performance.? He later backed up his assertion by writing that “the catch 22 of pushing the workforce to be responsible and accountable drivers while simultaneously achieving narrow response time goals to the vast majority incidents that have no medical need for such high speed driving is also a bizarre and irresponsible contradiction.? This is a point that even Lawrence admits could foster the “mentality of ‘arrive on time and the patient dies – good outcome, arrive late and the patient lives – bad outcome’? that has already been affecting common sense both in the UK and increasingly in the US since NFPA 1710 set response time standards several years ago.

While there were other good comments, I would like to focus on the specific assertion that measuring response time (a well established practice today such as at Huron Valley Ambulance’s public web Performance Dashboard) is not an “evidence-based? practice. There are many specific accounts of individual lives saved that I have heard mentioned by different agencies, but I will concede that the plural of “anecdote? is not “data?. However, one of the best stories of response time saving lives was made on February 9 when Richard Sposa of Jersey City Medical Center EMS discussed an interesting finding in a recent webcast. The chart reproduced here shows a correlation between

Return of Spontaneous Circulation vs. Response Time

response time and the Return of Spontaneous Circulation (ROSC). This unexpected finding clearly traced an upward trend of ROSC with the decline in Average Response Time for Priority 1 Calls graphed quarterly from the beginning of 2005 to the end of 2007. This is a verified statistical trend (Mount Sinai Hospital reviewed these findings) and I suggest you click to view the graph in full detail. This shows not just living anecdotes, but a statistical increase patients with restored heartbeats.

Many things about our business can and should be questioned, but this is exactly the sort of evidence I would like to see investigated at other services. Can what Jersey City Medical Center is experiencing be reproduced elsewhere? And probably more importantly, does fast response necessarily mean “high speed driving??

The point of System Status Management (SSM) is that ambulances can be effectively pre-positioned through scientific statistical forecasting in order to reduce the time of a response even without driving faster to the call.  Zoll Software Solutions, as an example, considers the elimination of inefficiencies to be a core component for closing the loop on your dispatch process and is even offering free medical equipment to customers who use this technology to improve their system. One customer who has done this already with Zoll technology is Grand Rapids who was also featured in the following FOX News video on Predicting Where your Next Emergency will Happen.

If you believe that knowing where your next calls are likely to come from in time to allow you to safely prepare for that response, the science is available today. You just need to be able to integrate that knowledge into your process.

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